WASHINGTON — President Obama is being pressed by some of his top national security aides to approve the use of American military power in Libya to open up another front against the Islamic State.
But
Mr. Obama, wary of embarking on an intervention in another strife-torn
country, has told his aides to redouble their efforts to help form a
unity government in Libya at the same time the Pentagon refines its
options, which include airstrikes, commando raids or advising vetted
Libyan militias on the ground, as Special Operations forces are doing
now in eastern Syria. The use of large numbers of American ground troops
is not being considered.
The
debate, which played out in a meeting Mr. Obama had with his advisers
last week, has not yet been resolved, nor have the size or contours of
any possible American military involvement been determined.
“The
White House just has to decide,” said one senior State Department
official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss internal
deliberations. “The case has been laid out by virtually every
department.”
The
number of Islamic State fighters in Libya, Pentagon officials said this
week, has grown to between 5,000 and 6,500 — more than double the
estimate government analysts disclosed last fall. Rather than travel to
Iraq or Syria, many new Islamic State recruits from across North Africa
have remained in Libya, in militant strongholds along more than 150
miles of Mediterranean coastline near Surt, these officials said.
The
top leadership of the Islamic State in Syria has sent half a dozen top
lieutenants to Libya to help organize what Western officials consider
the most dangerous of the group’s eight global affiliates. In recent
months, United States and British Special Operations teams have
increased clandestine reconnaissance missions in Libya to identify the
militant leaders and map out their networks for possible strikes.
Military
planners are still awaiting orders on whether American involvement
would include striking senior leaders, attacking a broader set of
targets, or deploying teams of commandos to work with Libyan fighters
who promise to support a new Libyan government. Any military action
would be coordinated with European allies, officials said.
eams of American Special Operations forces have over the past year been trying to court Libyan allies who might join a new government in a fight against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL. But commanders say they are dealing with a patchwork of Libyan militias that remain unreliable, unaccountable, poorly organized and divided by region and tribe.
eams of American Special Operations forces have over the past year been trying to court Libyan allies who might join a new government in a fight against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL. But commanders say they are dealing with a patchwork of Libyan militias that remain unreliable, unaccountable, poorly organized and divided by region and tribe.
“How
long will the United States and the Europeans wait until they say, we
have to work with whatever militias we can on the ground?” said Frederic
Wehrey, a Libya specialist at the Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace, who frequently visits the country.
When
Mr. Obama assembled his national security advisers last Thursday to
discuss escalating the fight against the Islamic State, he asked them to
prepare whatever military measures were necessary to combat the
militants in Libya while not undercutting the international effort to
help form a national unity government.
For
Mr. Obama the challenge is to avoid embarking on yet another major
counterterrorism campaign in his last year in office while also moving
decisively to prevent the rise of a new arm of the Islamic State that if
left unchecked analysts say could attack the West, including Americans
or American interests.
Defense
Secretary Ashton B. Carter summed up the balancing act between
nurturing the fragile and fitful political process and gearing up for
what would most likely be a Special Operations war this way last week:
“We’re looking to help them get control over their own country.”
But,
he added, “We don’t want to be on a glide slope to a situation like
Syria and Iraq. That’s the reason why we’re watching it that closely.
That’s the reason why we develop options for what we might do in the
future.”
A
dozen American and European military, intelligence and counterterrorism
officials said in interviews that they had little doubt that the
Islamic State in Libya posed an ominous threat.
“You
could see a very large holding, an area that is effectively governed by
ISIS in Libya, and Libya’s proximity to serve as a gateway into
southern Europe,” Representative Adam B. Schiff of California, the top
Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, said this week in calling
for military strikes against Islamic State leaders.
Secretary of State John Kerry
said in Rome this week that the American-led coalition fighting the
Islamic State must intensify its efforts to thwart the group from
gaining a “stranglehold” in oil-rich Libya, mainly by backing the
creation of a national unity government there. “The last thing in the
world you want is a false caliphate with access to billions of dollars
of oil revenue,” Mr. Kerry said.
Forming
a unity government would most likely lay the groundwork for the West to
provide badly needed security assistance to the new Libyan leadership.
Options under discussion include sending Italian and other European
troops to Libya to establish a local stabilization force and reviving a
Pentagon plan to train Libyan counterterrorism troops.
There
is no functioning government now in Libya, where a NATO bombing
campaign helped overthrow Col. Muammar el-Qaddafi nearly five years ago.
Warring factions are far more focused on fighting one another than on
battling the Islamic State, and Libya’s neighbors are all too weak or
unstable to lead or even host a military intervention.
Lawmakers
in Libya’s internationally recognized Parliament last week
overwhelmingly rejected a proposed United Nations-backed unity cabinet,
dealing a blow to diplomatic efforts to swiftly reconcile the country’s
splintered factions.
Senior
administration officials say the parallel tracks of supporting the
political process in Libya while fighting the Islamic State are
“mutually reinforcing.” But at some point, current and former
administration officials said, the United States may have to act
unilaterally or with allies if faced with a credible threat from the
Libyan franchise.
“Weighing
our actions based on how it impacts the Libyan political environment is
an almost impossible juggling act,” said Juan Carlos Zarate, a former
top counterterrorism official under President George W. Bush. “We may
not have a choice if ISIS continues to control greater swaths of
territory and assemble more terrorists.”
While
no decision has been reached about when the United States and its
allies will formally expand action in Libya against the Islamic State,
administration officials said this week it could come very soon. A
decision will probably be made in “weeks,” Gen. Joseph F. Dunford Jr.,
the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said late last month.
“It’s
fair to say that we’re looking to take decisive military action against
ISIL in conjunction with the political process” in Libya, General
Dunford said. “The president has made clear that we have the authority
to use military force.”
Indeed,
the United States killed a senior Iraqi leader of the Islamic State —
Wissam Najm Abd Zayd al Zubaydi, also known as Abu Nabil, who was also
believed to be the group’s top commander in Libya — in an airstrike in
November near the eastern Libyan city of Darnah.
“They’re
welcoming foreign fighters to flock there, the way, in years past, they
did in Syria and Iraq,” Mr. Carter said of the Islamic State in Libya
last week. “And they’re trying to take over the reins of the economy and
tax it the way you see ISIL doing — you see the same kind of ambitions
on their part that you see realized in full flower in Syria and Iraq.”
Obama Is Pressed to Open Military Front Against ISIS in Libya
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